Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Cerro vs Liverpool M.

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Bentancourt R.
34'
Butti F.
39'
Castillo E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CA Cerro
30%
Draws
34%
Liverpool M.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Cerro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Liverpool M. at 0.88 per game, CA Cerro at 0.63.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CA Cerro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 16%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Cerro Liverpool M.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro
1:2
Feb 20, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Liverpool M.
2:1
May 25, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Severo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Cerro 36 / 100
Liverpool M. 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Cerro Liverpool M.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool M.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CA Cerro scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: CA Cerro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Cerro VS Liverpool M.
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410