Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between CA Deva and UM Escobedo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UM Escobedo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UM Escobedo come out ahead of CA Deva on wins alone.
- UM Escobedo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 20%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Deva | UM Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 4 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs UM Escobedo
2:2
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CA Deva
2:0
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs UM Escobedo
1:1
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CA Deva
1:1
Mar 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs UM Escobedo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Deva 20 / 100
UM Escobedo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Deva UM Escobedo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UM Escobedo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CA Deva scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
UM Escobedo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Away concern: UM Escobedo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS UM Escobedo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Deva
(Home) 09 May
Bezana
3 : 0 CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5 SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1 CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1 CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 SD Reocin
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01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5 SD Noja
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 SD Reocin
01 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 CD Tropezon
21 Mar
CA Deva
2 : 2 UM Escobedo
06 Mar
CA Deva
0 : 1 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
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UM Escobedo
(Away) 20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0 UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3 Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1 UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0 CD Laredo
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20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0 UM Escobedo
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1 UM Escobedo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7 UM Escobedo
19 Apr
CD Tropezon
0 : 0 UM Escobedo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 103:15 | 101 |
| 2 | SD Noja | 38 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 85:19 | 86 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 56:16 | 82 |
| 4 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 74:33 | 75 |
| 5 | SD Reocin | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 76:38 | 67 |
| 6 | Bezana | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 56:34 | 66 |
| 7 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 51:55 | 54 |
| 8 | Castro | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46:41 | 53 |
| 9 | CD Laredo | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:51 | 49 |
| 10 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:48 | 49 |
| 11 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42:59 | 49 |
| 12 | CA Deva | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 55:48 | 48 |
| 13 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 51:56 | 46 |
| 14 | Cayon CD | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:72 | 40 |
| 15 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 38:65 | 39 |
| 16 | Solares | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:53 | 39 |
| 17 | Vimenor | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Santona | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 41:66 | 36 |
| 19 | Guarnizo | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 20:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Velarde | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 15:126 | 6 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
