Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Madryn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Ardiles F.
46'
Sub
Acosta E. In: Vera I.
Out: Acosta E.
53'
Torres Caro N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and Deportivo Madryn finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Madryn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CA Estudiantes
15%
Draws
45%
Deportivo Madryn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Madryn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes haven't matched Deportivo Madryn's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Madryn
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs CA Estudiantes
3:0
Aug 26, 2023 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs CA Estudiantes
1:1
Apr 16, 2023 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Madryn
0:3
Apr 9, 2022 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Madryn
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Top Goalscorer Silba L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 42 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Deportivo Madryn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Estudiantes scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Deportivo Madryn let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

CA Estudiantes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Deportivo Madryn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Madryn

(Away)
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0
Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)