Sport Picks

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CA Estudiantes W vs El Porvenir W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Merlo K.
46' Event
Simonetti N.
86' Event
Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

El Porvenir W in this Primera A Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Porvenir W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CA Estudiantes W
17%
Draws
13%
El Porvenir W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CA Estudiantes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes W have won more games recently than El Porvenir W.
  • CA Estudiantes W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CA Estudiantes W Clean Sheet 16%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes W El Porvenir W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2023 Primera A Women
CA Estudiantes W vs El Porvenir W
1:2
Jun 23, 2023 Primera A Women
CA Estudiantes W vs El Porvenir W
2:0
Aug 28, 2022 Primera A Women
CA Estudiantes W vs El Porvenir W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonetti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

El Porvenir W Compare

Top Goalscorer Merlo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes W 66 / 100
El Porvenir W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes W El Porvenir W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Porvenir W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

CA Estudiantes W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

CA Estudiantes W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes W VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes W

(Home)
06 Dec
Gimnasia L.P. W
1 : 2
CA Estudiantes W
24 Nov
CA Estudiantes W
1 : 4
Rosario Central W
17 Nov
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
2 : 2
CA Estudiantes W
12 Nov
CA Estudiantes W
0 : 1
San Lorenzo W
07 Nov
Boca Juniors W
2 : 2
CA Estudiantes W
Page 1 of 7

El Porvenir W

(Away)
30 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 3
Lanus W
26 Nov
Boca Juniors W
3 : 0
El Porvenir W
13 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 0
Huracan W
17 Oct
Excursionistas W
1 : 0
El Porvenir W
09 Oct
CA Estudiantes W
1 : 2
El Porvenir W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UAI Urquiza W1071219:922
2San Lorenzo W1061313:919
3CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1053222:1118
4CA Banfield W1053216:1318
5River Plate W1052327:1417
6CA Independiente W1042416:1414
7Platense W1042410:1614
8Social Atletico Television W1032513:1411
9Estudiantes L.P. W101097:253
10Defensores de Belgrano W1000102:270
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W1091024:428
2Racing Club W1080220:924
3Ferro W1061320:1119
4Huracan W1034311:1013
5Gimnasia L.P. W1034312:1213
6CA Estudiantes W1040611:1612
7Rosario Central W103259:1111
8Excursionistas W103256:1311
9Lanus W102358:159
10El Porvenir W101366:196
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)