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CA Itapemirim vs Real Noroeste Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Capixaba 2017
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AI Match Summary

CA Itapemirim in this Campeonato Capixaba 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Itapemirim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CA Itapemirim
35%
Draws
65%
Real Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • CA Itapemirim haven't matched Real Noroeste's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Real Noroeste taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 20%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Itapemirim Real Noroeste
Matches Played 36 45
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.49
Goals Conceded 2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2023 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
4:0
Mar 7, 2020 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
3:1
Feb 23, 2019 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
4:0
Mar 10, 2018 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs CA Itapemirim
2:2
Apr 8, 2017 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Real Noroeste
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Itapemirim 10 / 100
Real Noroeste 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Itapemirim Real Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Real Noroeste let in goals in 71% of their last 45 matches.

CA Itapemirim's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Noroeste
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Itapemirim

(Home)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
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Real Noroeste

(Away)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Itapemirim 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
2 Doze Futebol Clube 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
3 Galatas 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
4 Tupy 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
5 SAO Mateus 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
6 Vitoria ES 9 2 5 2 8:10 11
7 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 2 4 3 10:7 10
8 Rio Branco ES 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
9 Real Noroeste 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
10 Linhares Futebol Clube 9 0 3 6 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2017 (Play Offs)