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Stadium Background

CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between CA Metropolitano and Fluminense-SC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CA Metropolitano
6%
Draws
4%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives CA Metropolitano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CA Metropolitano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
3:0
Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:3
Jul 6, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs CA Metropolitano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 85 / 100
Fluminense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CA Metropolitano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Fluminense-SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense-SC

(Away)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)