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CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
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Match Events

34'
Marcao
44' Event
Ariel
77'
Brown

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
CA Metropolitano
20%
Draws
20%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Blumenau haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Blumenau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
0:1
Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
4:1
May 20, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
1:0
May 31, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:1
May 26, 2024 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 51 / 100
Blumenau 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Blumenau has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Blumenau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Blumenau
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
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Blumenau

(Away)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)