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CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Marcao
44' Event
Ariel
77'
Brown

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CA Metropolitano
28%
Draws
22%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CA Metropolitano haven't matched Blumenau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Blumenau
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
4:1
May 20, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
1:0
May 31, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:1
May 26, 2024 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 31, 2022 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 59 / 100
Blumenau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Blumenau has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

CA Metropolitano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Blumenau
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
01 Jul
Nacao
0 : 0
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz16122233:938
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1684432:1328
5Tubarao1665522:1723
6Fluminense-SC1653814:2118
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Gremio Juventus1652916:2117
9Guarani de Palhoca1645715:2417
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)