Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano

0 - 0

Hercilio Luz

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Ariel

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

CA Metropolitano

22%

Draws

60%

Hercilio Luz

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Hercilio Luz haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
Hercilio Luz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CA Metropolitano	Hercilio Luz
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	13	12
Draws	8	6
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.75	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Catarinense 2

Hercilio Luz vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

May 3, 2026 Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Mar 27, 2021 Catarinense

Hercilio Luz vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Mar 16, 2019 Catarinense

CA Metropolitano vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Jan 26, 2019 Catarinense

Hercilio Luz vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 18 / 100

Hercilio Luz 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CA Metropolitano Hercilio Luz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Hercilio Luz let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CA Metropolitano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Hercilio Luz

1.75 Goals Scored 2.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	Caravaggio	15	9	3	3	42:17	30
3	CA Metropolitano	15	9	2	4	25:17	29
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14:22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	15	0	1	14	5:57	1