Sport Picks
CA Metropolitano vs Marcilio Dias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
Match Events
20'
20'
Evaristo
32'
32'
Evaristo
41'
41'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-5. The second leg ended 2-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marcilio Dias
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Marcilio Dias on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Marcilio Dias taking it.
- CA Metropolitano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Metropolitano | Marcilio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
CA Metropolitano vs Marcilio Dias
2:5
Mar 24, 2021 Catarinense
CA Metropolitano vs Marcilio Dias
0:1
Mar 24, 2019 Catarinense
Marcilio Dias vs CA Metropolitano
0:1
Feb 3, 2019 Catarinense
CA Metropolitano vs Marcilio Dias
1:2
Feb 1, 2015 Catarinense
CA Metropolitano vs Marcilio Dias
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Metropolitano Compare
Top Goalscorer Hugo Cordeiro
1 Goals Assists Leader Dos Santos G. A. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Marcilio Dias Compare
Top Goalscorer Evaristo
2 Goals Assists Leader Cristiano
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Metropolitano 10 / 100
Marcilio Dias 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Metropolitano Marcilio Dias
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Marcilio Dias let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
CA Metropolitano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CA Metropolitano VS Marcilio Dias
2.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Metropolitano
(Home) 27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1 CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2 CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1 Jaragua-SC
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
Marcilio Dias
(Away) 09 Oct
Nacao
0 : 0 Marcilio Dias
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Nacao
0 : 0 Marcilio Dias
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)
