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CA Metropolitano vs Santa Catarina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Santa Catarina. Little to choose between these two on current form. CA Metropolitano have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Santa Catarina's 1.32 scored and 1.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Catarina slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 14, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Santa Catarina. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CA Metropolitano
15%
Draws
46%
Santa Catarina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Catarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Catarina haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santa Catarina a 46% chance of winning this.
  • CA Metropolitano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Catarina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Santa Catarina
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Santa Catarina
1:1
Jun 4, 2023 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Santa Catarina
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 24 / 100
Santa Catarina 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Santa Catarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Catarina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Metropolitano scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Santa Catarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: CA Metropolitano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Santa Catarina
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
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Santa Catarina

(Away)
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
2 Figueirense 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
3 Hercilio Luz 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
4 Joinville 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
5 Santa Catarina 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
6 CA Metropolitano 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
8 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Nacao 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)