Sport Picks
CA Metropolitano vs Santa Catarina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Santa Catarina. Little to choose between these two on current form. CA Metropolitano have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Santa Catarina's 1.32 scored and 1.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Catarina slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 14, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Santa Catarina. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Santa Catarina haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
- Model gives Santa Catarina a 46% chance of winning this.
- CA Metropolitano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Catarina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Metropolitano | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CA Metropolitano scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Santa Catarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Solid form: CA Metropolitano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CA Metropolitano
(Home)Santa Catarina
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |