Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs Central Norte

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
CA Mitre Logo

CA Mitre

Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Central Norte Logo

Central Norte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Mitre host Central Norte in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Central Norte have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while CA Mitre have conceded 1.32 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor CA Mitre slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.00, favoring CA Mitre. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CA Mitre
35%
Draws
34%
Central Norte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Central Norte have won more games recently than CA Mitre.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 23%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Central Norte
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs CA Mitre
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Central Norte
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs CA Mitre
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 37 / 100
Central Norte 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Central Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Central Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CA Mitre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Central Norte
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
21 Aug
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 0
CA Mitre
15 Aug
CA Mitre
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
09 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
02 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Jul
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
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Central Norte

(Away)
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Deportivo Moron
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
16 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
10 Aug
All Boys
1 : 1
Central Norte
02 Aug
Central Norte
1 : 0
Los Andes
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 26 16 4 6 32:23 52
2 Deportivo Moron 26 13 7 6 41:24 46
3 Colon Santa Fe 26 12 9 5 34:20 45
4 Deportivo Madryn 26 11 10 5 38:24 43
5 Almirante Brown 26 11 8 7 22:16 41
6 Godoy Cruz 26 11 7 8 29:24 40
7 CA Estudiantes 26 9 8 9 23:22 35
8 Ciudad Bolivar 26 8 11 7 22:23 35
9 Los Andes 25 8 9 8 20:15 33
10 Racing Cordoba 26 8 8 10 24:29 32
11 CA Mitre 26 6 11 9 25:33 29
12 San Miguel 26 6 11 9 20:28 29
13 Chaco For Ever 26 7 7 12 25:29 28
14 Central Norte 26 6 10 10 17:25 28
15 San Telmo 26 6 9 11 22:30 27
16 All Boys 26 5 12 9 15:24 27
17 Defensores de Belgrano 25 5 11 9 16:23 26
18 Acassuso 26 5 7 14 19:32 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 25 13 9 3 28:13 48
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 26 13 6 7 39:32 45
3 Temperley 26 11 10 5 29:22 43
4 Atletico Atlanta 26 13 3 10 31:27 42
5 Midland 25 10 8 7 27:19 38
6 Deportivo Maipu 26 11 5 10 34:27 38
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 26 10 8 8 27:25 38
8 Atl. Rafaela 26 9 9 8 18:19 36
9 San Martin S.J. 25 9 8 8 27:24 35
10 San Martin T. 26 8 11 7 26:23 35
11 Quilmes 26 8 8 10 27:22 32
12 Colegiales 25 8 7 10 23:25 31
13 Almagro 26 8 7 11 21:29 31
14 Nueva Chicago 26 7 8 11 20:25 29
15 Agropecuario 26 7 8 11 22:30 29
16 Patronato 26 5 13 8 23:29 28
17 Chacarita Juniors 26 7 6 13 19:28 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 26 5 7 14 21:43 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)