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CA Mitre vs Central Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Cabral F. In: Zarate J.
Out: Cabral F.
41' Event
Machado M.
44' Event
Zarate J.
Assist: Mieres B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CA Mitre
35%
Draws
30%
Central Norte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CA Mitre have won more games recently than Central Norte.
  • CA Mitre are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Central Norte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.97 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Central Norte
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs CA Mitre
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Central Norte
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs CA Mitre
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zarate J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Central Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Borda F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 51 / 100
Central Norte 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Central Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Central Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

CA Mitre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Central Norte
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

Central Norte

(Away)
18 Oct
Chaco For Ever
1 : 2
Central Norte
11 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Ferro
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)