Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Toloza F.
Assist: Contreras E.
40' Event
Contreras E.
46'
Sub
Antunes I. In: Mieres B.
Out: Antunes I.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
CA Mitre
17%
Draws
70%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Moron have won more games recently than CA Mitre.
  • Deportivo Moron are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
3:0
May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
1:2
May 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Mitre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Toloza F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 15 / 100
Deportivo Moron 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Deportivo Moron

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

CA Mitre has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Deportivo Moron
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419