Sport Picks
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero 
Match Events
28'
28'
Toloza F.
Assist: Contreras E.
40'
40'
Contreras E.
46'
46'
Sub
Antunes I. In: Mieres B.
Out: Antunes I.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Moron
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportivo Moron have won more games recently than CA Mitre.
- Deportivo Moron are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Mitre | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
3:0
May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
1:2
May 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Mitre Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Deportivo Moron Compare
Top Goalscorer Toloza F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Contreras E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Mitre 12 / 100
Deportivo Moron 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Mitre Deportivo Moron
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Moron Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Mitre found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Deportivo Moron conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
CA Mitre has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CA Mitre VS Deportivo Moron
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Mitre
(Home) 19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0 CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Chaco For Ever
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
21 Aug
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 0 CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Chaco For Ever
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
15 Aug
CA Mitre
1 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
09 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
26 Jul
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Moron
(Away) 13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2 Deportivo Moron
02 Aug
Chaco For Ever
2 : 0 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
