Sport Picks
CA Mitre vs San Miguel
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero 
Match Events
22'
22'
Adin D.
26'
26'
Abello D.
28'
28'
Machado M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between CA Mitre and San Miguel finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Mitre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Mitre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Miguel haven't matched CA Mitre's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans CA Mitre's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Mitre | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 14 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs San Miguel
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Mitre Compare
Top Goalscorer Antunes I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rosales S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
San Miguel Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Mitre 50 / 100
San Miguel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Mitre San Miguel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Mitre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
CA Mitre's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: San Miguel conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: CA Mitre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CA Mitre VS San Miguel
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Mitre
(Home) 13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Chaco For Ever
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
21 Aug
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 0 CA Mitre
15 Aug
CA Mitre
1 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Chaco For Ever
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
15 Aug
CA Mitre
1 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
09 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
26 Jul
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 3
San Miguel
(Away) 13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2 Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
26 Aug
Chaco For Ever
3 : 0 San Miguel
22 Aug
San Miguel
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1 San Miguel
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
26 Aug
Chaco For Ever
3 : 0 San Miguel
09 Aug
Racing Cordoba
1 : 0 San Miguel
02 Aug
San Telmo
1 : 0 San Miguel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34:25 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 39 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24:26 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 15 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16:25 | 31 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23:33 | 31 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19:34 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30:26 | 39 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
