Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Porto vs Aguia FC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Kaio Henrique

AI Match Summary

CA Porto in this Pernambucano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CA Porto
39%
Draws
31%
Aguia FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Porto haven't matched Aguia FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Aguia FC
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 5 6
Draws 15 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Aguia FC
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Aguia FC vs CA Porto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Porto Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaio Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aguia FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 41 / 100
Aguia FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Aguia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aguia FC conceded in 90% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CA Porto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Aguia FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Porto VS Aguia FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Porto

(Home)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

Aguia FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)