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CA Porto vs Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Porto in this Pernambucano 2 2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CA Porto
33%
Draws
27%
Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CA Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga have won more games recently than CA Porto.
  • Model gives CA Porto a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Ypiranga
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 7 14
Draws 14 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Ypiranga
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs CA Porto
0:0
Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Ypiranga
0:0
Dec 9, 2020 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Ypiranga
4:0
Sep 30, 2018 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Ypiranga
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 40 / 100
Ypiranga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Porto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: CA Porto scored in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Ypiranga conceded in 44% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CA Porto VS Ypiranga
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vera Cruz53116:310
2Sete de Setembro (PE)53115:410
3Centro Limoeirense53026:39
4CA Porto52035:36
5Ibis Sport Club51223:45
6Ypiranga50231:92