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CA Pulpileno vs Caravaca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Atta K.

AI Match Summary

CA Pulpileno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CA Pulpileno
35%
Draws
25%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Pulpileno lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Pulpileno Caravaca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Caravaca
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs CA Pulpileno
2:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs CA Pulpileno
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Caravaca
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Caravaca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Atta K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Caravaca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Pulpileno 41 / 100
Caravaca 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Pulpileno Caravaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Pulpileno scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Caravaca conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

CA Pulpileno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CA Pulpileno VS Caravaca
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Pulpileno

(Home)
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
26 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1
CA Pulpileno
12 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Caravaca

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)