Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between CA Pulpileno and Pinatar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- CA Pulpileno carry the better recent record into this one.
- CA Pulpileno are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 20%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Pulpileno | Pinatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 32 |
| Wins | 21 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.05 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs CA Pulpileno
1:0
Nov 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Pinatar
1:0
Mar 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Pinatar
1:1
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs CA Pulpileno
0:1
Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs CA Pulpileno
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Pulpileno 40 / 100
Pinatar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Pulpileno Pinatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Pulpileno's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 42 recent games.
Defensive concern: Pinatar conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
CA Pulpileno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
CA Pulpileno VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Pulpileno
(Home) 10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1 Mazarron FC
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
26 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Deportivo Maritimo
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1 CA Pulpileno
12 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 9
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1 Mazarron FC
26 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Deportivo Maritimo
12 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Santa Cruz
28 Mar
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Caravaca
15 Mar
CA Pulpileno
1 : 1 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 4
Pinatar
(Away) 13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1 EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0 CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
08 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
2 : 1 Pinatar
25 Mar
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 3 Pinatar
18 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 1 Pinatar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 64:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 62:29 | 77 |
| 3 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71:30 | 66 |
| 4 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58:39 | 63 |
| 5 | Yeclano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:27 | 62 |
| 6 | La Union CF | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 51:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 42:41 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56:61 | 46 |
| 10 | Muleno CF | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:48 | 45 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de Murcia CF | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:42 | 41 |
| 12 | EDMF Churra | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 37:45 | 41 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:56 | 39 |
| 14 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 35 |
| 15 | Pinatar | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 41:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 17 | EF Alhama | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 39:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Caravaca | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 29:113 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
