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CA Tocantinense vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
CA Tocantinense Logo

CA Tocantinense

2 - 0
FT
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between CA Tocantinense and Alvorada finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Tocantinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CA Tocantinense
35%
Draws
35%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CA Tocantinense haven't matched Alvorada's recent run of results.
  • Alvorada are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CA Tocantinense Clean Sheet 20%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Tocantinense Alvorada
Matches Played 18 35
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2005 Tocantinense
CA Tocantinense vs Alvorada
2:0
Mar 30, 2005 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs CA Tocantinense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Tocantinense 20 / 100
Alvorada 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Tocantinense Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Tocantinense found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Alvorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: CA Tocantinense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alvorada
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Tocantinense

(Home)
21 May
CA Tocantinense
2 : 2
Gurupi
15 May
Tocantinopolis
3 : 0
CA Tocantinense
11 May
Palmas
3 : 1
CA Tocantinense
07 May
Miracema EC
3 : 4
CA Tocantinense
05 May
Paraiso EC
1 : 1
CA Tocantinense
Page 1 of 4

Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)