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CA Tocantinense vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CA Tocantinense
35%
Draws
19%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Tocantinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Tocantinense lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • Win probability leans CA Tocantinense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CA Tocantinense Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Tocantinense Paraiso EC
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 5 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2005 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs CA Tocantinense
1:1
Apr 2, 2005 Tocantinense
CA Tocantinense vs Paraiso EC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Tocantinense 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Tocantinense Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Tocantinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: CA Tocantinense scored in 78% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CA Tocantinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paraiso EC
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Tocantinense

(Home)
21 May
CA Tocantinense
2 : 2
Gurupi
15 May
Tocantinopolis
3 : 0
CA Tocantinense
11 May
Palmas
3 : 1
CA Tocantinense
07 May
Miracema EC
3 : 4
CA Tocantinense
05 May
Paraiso EC
1 : 1
CA Tocantinense
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)