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CA Vila Rica U20 vs Comercial PA U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20
CA Vila Rica U20 Logo

CA Vila Rica U20

Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Comercial PA U20 Logo

Comercial PA U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Vila Rica U20 host Comercial PA U20 in the Paraense U20. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. CA Vila Rica U20 have averaged 1.91 scored and 3.27 conceded recently, against Comercial PA U20's 1.17 scored and 5.17 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (3.52 - 2.40) back CA Vila Rica U20 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CA Vila Rica U20
15%
Draws
34%
Comercial PA U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Vila Rica U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Vila Rica U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CA Vila Rica U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
CA Vila Rica U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Comercial PA U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Vila Rica U20 Comercial PA U20
Matches Played 11 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.91 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.27 5.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.52 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Vila Rica U20 83 / 100
Comercial PA U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Vila Rica U20 Comercial PA U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Vila Rica U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Vila Rica U20 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

Comercial PA U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

Solid form: CA Vila Rica U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Comercial PA U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Vila Rica U20 VS Comercial PA U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
3.63 Goals Conceded 5.17
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Vila Rica U20

(Home)
06 Sept
CA Vila Rica U20
3 : 2
Santa Rosa U20
01 Sept
Atletico Barbarense U20
1 : 3
CA Vila Rica U20
26 Aug
CA Vila Rica U20
0 : 4
Paysandu PA U20
21 Aug
CRT-23 Benevides U20
2 : 0
CA Vila Rica U20
17 Aug
CA Vila Rica U20
3 : 2
Pinheirense U20
Page 1 of 3

Comercial PA U20

(Away)
22 Oct
Atletico JM9 U20
2 : 3
Comercial PA U20
25 Nov
Comercial PA U20
0 : 11
Tuna Luso U20
25 Oct
Comercial PA U20
0 : 6
Pinheirense U20
18 Oct
Maracana Taua U20
6 : 1
Comercial PA U20
15 Oct
Comercial PA U20
3 : 0
Terra Alta U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo U20 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Comercial PA U20 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 CA Vila Rica U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tapajos U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Atletico JM9 U20 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
6 ESMAC U20 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ponte Nova U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Trabalhista U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Pedreira U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Curumins EC U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tuna Luso U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CRT-23 Benevides U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sao Francisco U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Boca Juniors U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense U20 1 1 0 0 10:1 3
2 Venus U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Sport Belem U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tesla U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Estrela PA U20 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiradentes PA U20 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Pinheirense U20 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Craques do Futuro U20 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Desportiva Paraense U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Cabanos U20 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal U20 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Meninos de Ouro U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Capitao Poco U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paragominas U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sao Miguel U20 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Tailandia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Aguia De Maraba U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mec Maraba U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)