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CA Vila Rica vs Belenense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica Logo

CA Vila Rica

2 - 2
FT
Belenense Logo

Belenense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CA Vila Rica
20%
Draws
73%
Belenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belenense lately — more wins on the board than CA Vila Rica.
  • Model gives Belenense a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 10%
Belenense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Vila Rica Belenense
Matches Played 12 17
Wins 0 9
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.42 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Belenense
2:2
Sep 11, 2026 Paraense A3
Belenense vs CA Vila Rica
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Vila Rica 10 / 100
Belenense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Vila Rica Belenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Belenense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 17 outings.

CA Vila Rica scored in 33% of their last 12 games.

CA Vila Rica went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Vila Rica VS Belenense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Vila Rica

(Home)
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 3

Belenense

(Away)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)