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CA Vila Rica vs Sport Belem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Belem in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Belem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
CA Vila Rica
20%
Draws
70%
Sport Belem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Belem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Belem lately — more wins on the board than CA Vila Rica.
  • Sport Belem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Vila Rica Sport Belem
Matches Played 12 20
Wins 0 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.42 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs CA Vila Rica
3:0
Sep 13, 2026 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Sport Belem
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Vila Rica 10 / 100
Sport Belem 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Vila Rica Sport Belem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Belem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Belem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CA Vila Rica scored in 33% of their last 12 games.

Recent resilience: CA Vila Rica stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Vila Rica VS Sport Belem
0.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Vila Rica

(Home)
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 3

Sport Belem

(Away)
03 Oct
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Parauapebas
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)