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Cabecense vs CD Alcala

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Cabecense Logo

Cabecense

4 - 1
FT
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cabecense in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabecense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cabecense
15%
Draws
51%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cabecense lately — more wins on the board than CD Alcala.
  • Win probability leans CD Alcala's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 18%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense CD Alcala
Matches Played 42 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Cabecense
2:1
Sep 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs CD Alcala
1:3
Dec 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs CD Alcala
4:1
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Cabecense
1:1
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs CD Alcala
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 28 / 100
CD Alcala 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Cabecense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (42 games).

Defensive concern: CD Alcala conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Away concern: CD Alcala has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cabecense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)