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Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sagna S.
18' Event
Juaniyo Gomez
(Penalty)
59' Event
Limon A.

AI Match Summary

CD Azuaga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cabeza del Buey
20%
Draws
60%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • CD Azuaga have won more games recently than Cabeza del Buey.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CD Azuaga have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 17%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabeza del Buey CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Cabeza del Buey
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Limon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabeza del Buey 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabeza del Buey CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabeza del Buey's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cabeza del Buey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Azuaga let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cabeza del Buey VS CD Azuaga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabeza del Buey

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)