Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cabeza del Buey vs Jerez CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Blanco B.
77' Event
Mills E.
86' Event
Mina P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Cabeza del Buey and Jerez CF finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabeza del Buey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cabeza del Buey
30%
Draws
41%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cabeza del Buey come out ahead of Jerez CF on wins alone.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Cabeza del Buey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 68%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabeza del Buey Jerez CF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Jerez CF
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Jerez CF
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Cabeza del Buey
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mills E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jerez CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabeza del Buey 50 / 100
Jerez CF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabeza del Buey Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabeza del Buey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabeza del Buey's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jerez CF conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Cabeza del Buey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cabeza del Buey VS Jerez CF
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabeza del Buey

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

Jerez CF

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)