Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Cabeza del Buey

1 - 0

SP Villafranca

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Alvarez A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cabeza del Buey in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabeza del Buey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Cabeza del Buey

20%

Draws

38%

SP Villafranca

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cabeza del Buey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Cabeza del Buey lately — more wins on the board than SP Villafranca.
Model gives Cabeza del Buey a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 18%

SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cabeza del Buey	SP Villafranca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	9	6
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	1.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Cabeza del Buey vs SP Villafranca

1:0

Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca vs Cabeza del Buey

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

SP Villafranca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabeza del Buey 41 / 100

SP Villafranca 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cabeza del Buey SP Villafranca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabeza del Buey found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

SP Villafranca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cabeza del Buey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabeza del Buey VS SP Villafranca

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabeza del Buey

(Home)

10 May

Cabeza del Buey

1 : 0

Puebla de la Calzada

03 May

Jaraiz

2 : 1

Cabeza del Buey

26 Apr

Cabeza del Buey

2 : 1

Montehermoso

19 Apr

Villanovense

3 : 2

Cabeza del Buey

12 Apr

Cabeza del Buey

3 : 0

Jerez CF

Page 1 of 6

SP Villafranca

(Away)

10 May

CD Diocesano

4 : 4

SP Villafranca

03 May

SP Villafranca

2 : 1

Jerez CF

26 Apr

SP Villafranca

1 : 0

Don Benito

19 Apr

Santa Amalia

0 : 2

SP Villafranca

12 Apr

SP Villafranca

0 : 2

CD Azuaga

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22

Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)