Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Yure

AI Match Summary

Cabofriense in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabofriense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cabofriense
35%
Draws
52%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonsucesso lately — more wins on the board than Cabofriense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 22%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Bonsucesso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso
1:0
Jan 10, 2018 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
0:2
Feb 22, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Yure
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bonsucesso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 32 / 100
Bonsucesso 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Bonsucesso let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Cabofriense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Bonsucesso
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
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Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)