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Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Machado G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cabofriense
35%
Draws
52%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonsucesso come out ahead of Cabofriense on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bonsucesso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cabofriense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 22%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Bonsucesso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso
1:0
Jan 10, 2018 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
0:2
Feb 22, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 32 / 100
Bonsucesso 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bonsucesso conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Cabofriense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Bonsucesso
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3