Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cabofriense vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Paulo J.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Tereu M.
90' Event
Khawhan

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Cabofriense and Perolas Negras finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perolas Negras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cabofriense
6%
Draws
90%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perolas Negras come out ahead of Cabofriense on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Perolas Negras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 13%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Perolas Negras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Perolas Negras
1:2
Jun 5, 2025 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Perolas Negras
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Khawhan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Tereu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 10 / 100
Perolas Negras 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Perolas Negras has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cabofriense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Perolas Negras
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
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Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)