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Caboolture vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex
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AI Match Summary

Caboolture play Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Caboolture averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Sunshine Coast Wanderers averaged 1.52 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Caboolture won 1, Sunshine Coast Wanderers won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Caboolture and 2.50 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers. This points to a Caboolture double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Caboolture
16%
Draws
35%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Caboolture picked up more points recently compared to Sunshine Coast Wanderers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Mar 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Caboolture
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 46 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Caboolture or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caboolture attacking → ← attacking Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Caboolture went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 33
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507