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Caboolture vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Speechley-Price M.
49' Event
Lopez O.
80' Event
Richardson J.

AI Match Summary

Sunshine Coast Wanderers in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Caboolture
20%
Draws
57%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Caboolture have won more games recently than Sunshine Coast Wanderers.
  • Model gives Sunshine Coast Wanderers a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 12%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Mar 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Caboolture
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Richardson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McDougall K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 27 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Sunshine Coast Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Sunshine Coast Wanderers conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caboolture stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caboolture

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Away)
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)