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Cacereno vs Ath Bilbao B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Principe Felipe, Cáceres
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Palacin P.
46'
Sub
Sanchidrian R. In: Monerris A.
Out: Sanchidrian R.
55'
Monerris A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Cacereno and Ath Bilbao B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cacereno
20%
Draws
47%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacereno come out ahead of Ath Bilbao B on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 18%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Ath Bilbao B
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Cacereno
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno 36 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ath Bilbao B conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Cacereno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cacereno VS Ath Bilbao B
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacereno

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)