Sport Picks
Cacereno vs CF Talavera
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Principe Felipe, Cáceres 
Match Events
3'
3'
Monerris A.
12'
12'
Sub
Gomez D. In: Palacin P.
Out: Gomez D.
45'
45'
Lopez A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Cacereno and CF Talavera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Talavera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cacereno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cacereno come out ahead of CF Talavera on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Cacereno taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cacereno | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs CF Talavera
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera vs Cacereno
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
CF Talavera vs Cacereno
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Cacereno vs CF Talavera
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Cacereno
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cacereno Compare
Top Goalscorer Monerris A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
CF Talavera Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Renzo G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cacereno 95 / 100
CF Talavera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cacereno CF Talavera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cacereno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cacereno scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
CF Talavera let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Cacereno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cacereno VS CF Talavera
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cacereno
(Home) 16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1 Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0 Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0 UD San Pedro
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1 Cacereno
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0 Mirandes
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0 Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0 UD San Pedro
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0 Mirandes
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1 Gevora
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0 Guadalajara
Page 1 of 3
CF Talavera
(Away) 20 Sept
Getafe B
1 : 1 CF Talavera
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1 Getafe B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Getafe B
1 : 1 CF Talavera
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1 CF Talavera
06 Aug
Villacanas
0 : 3 CF Talavera
23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2 CF Talavera
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
