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Cacerense vs Atletico MT

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Matogrossense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 game between Cacerense and Atletico MT finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cacerense
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico MT
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacerense come out ahead of Atletico MT on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cacerense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Atletico MT
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 9 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Atletico MT
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 85 / 100
Atletico MT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Atletico MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico MT let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Cacerense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cacerense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Atletico MT
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.29
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
21 May
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

Atletico MT

(Away)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)