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Cacerense vs Sinop FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cacerense
15%
Draws
53%
Sinop FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sinop FC come out ahead of Cacerense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sinop FC a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Sinop FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sinop FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 18%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Sinop FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Cacerense
2:0
Jun 3, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Sinop FC
2:1
Mar 19, 2017 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Cacerense
3:1
Feb 1, 2017 Matogrossense
Cacerense vs Sinop FC
0:3
Mar 13, 2016 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Cacerense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 12 / 100
Sinop FC 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Sinop FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sinop FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacerense found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sinop FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cacerense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Sinop FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

Sinop FC

(Away)
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sinop FC -
TBD -
Acao 1
Santa Cruz MT 2
Uirapuru -
TBD -
Sorriso EC 2
Cacerense 3
Semi-finals
Sinop FC 1
Santa Cruz MT 0
Uirapuru 2
Cacerense 3
Final
Sinop FC 3
Cacerense 2