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Cacerense vs Uirapuru

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Matogrossense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

Cacerense in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cacerense
15%
Draws
31%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cacerense lately — more wins on the board than Uirapuru.
  • Win probability leans Cacerense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Uirapuru
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
0:2
May 24, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 34 / 100
Uirapuru 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

Cacerense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Cacerense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Uirapuru
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
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Uirapuru

(Away)
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)