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Caceres vs Gremio Sorriso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Caceres
30%
Draws
31%
Gremio Sorriso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caceres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Caceres average 1.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Gremio Sorriso's 1.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Caceres taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Caceres Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caceres Gremio Sorriso
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Gremio Sorriso
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caceres 42 / 100
Gremio Sorriso 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caceres Gremio Sorriso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Gremio Sorriso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Caceres went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caceres VS Gremio Sorriso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Caceres

(Home)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
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Gremio Sorriso

(Away)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)