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Cadiz vs AD Ceuta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cadiz host AD Ceuta in the LaLiga2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. AD Ceuta have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Cadiz have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Cadiz have won 1 to AD Ceuta's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.00) point toward AD Ceuta. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cadiz
30%
Draws
39%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta come out ahead of Cadiz on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cadiz's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cadiz Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cadiz AD Ceuta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta
1:3
Mar 28, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Cadiz
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta
0:3
Jan 21, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
AD Ceuta vs Cadiz
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cadiz 42 / 100
AD Ceuta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cadiz AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cadiz scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cadiz stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cadiz VS AD Ceuta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cadiz

(Home)
11 Oct
Cadiz
0 : 1
Gijon
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0
Leganes
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1
Cadiz
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2
Girona
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
10 Oct
AD Ceuta
1 : 2
Sabadell
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almeria 9 7 0 2 16:5 21
2 Eibar 9 7 0 2 19:10 21
3 Castellon 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
4 Mallorca 9 5 2 2 11:4 17
5 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 10:7 16
6 Gijon 9 5 1 3 9:8 16
7 Girona 9 4 3 2 15:9 15
8 Burgos CF 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
9 Real Oviedo 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
10 Granada CF 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
11 Valladolid 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
12 Tenerife 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 Celta Vigo B 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
14 Eldense 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
15 Las Palmas 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
16 Leganes 9 3 2 4 6:14 11
17 FC Andorra 9 3 1 5 13:15 10
18 Cordoba 9 3 0 6 14:20 9
19 Real Sociedad B 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
20 Cadiz 9 1 4 4 11:11 7
21 AD Ceuta 9 1 2 6 8:20 5
22 Albacete 9 0 1 8 5:20 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)