Sport Picks
Cadiz vs Las Palmas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga2 2025/2026 JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz 
Match Events
4'
4'
Gonzalez J.
Assist: Suso
15'
15'
Rodriguez K.
33'
33'
Sub
Carcelen I. In: Diaz Peregrina J.
Out: Carcelen I.
AI Match Summary
Las Palmas in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Las Palmas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Las Palmas have won more games recently than Cadiz.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Cadiz taking it.
- Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Las Palmas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cadiz Clean Sheet 68%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cadiz | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
1:3
Apr 27, 2026 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Cadiz
1:0
Jul 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cadiz Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Las Palmas Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cadiz 50 / 100
Las Palmas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cadiz Las Palmas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cadiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cadiz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Las Palmas conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Cadiz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cadiz VS Las Palmas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cadiz
(Home) 03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0 Leganes
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1 Cadiz
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2 Girona
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1 Las Palmas
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2 Cadiz
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0 Leganes
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2 Girona
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1 Las Palmas
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1 Valladolid
15 Aug
Cadiz
0 : 0 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 4
Las Palmas
(Away) 04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2 Valladolid
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2 Las Palmas
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2 Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1 Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0 Leganes
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2 Las Palmas
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1 Las Palmas
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2 Las Palmas
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
08 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 3 Las Palmas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellon | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 10 | Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 36 |
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
