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Stadium Background

Caen II vs Guingamp II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Guingamp II in this National 2 - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guingamp II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caen II
20%
Draws
40%
Guingamp II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Caen II haven't matched Guingamp II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guingamp II a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Caen II Clean Sheet 23%
Guingamp II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen II Guingamp II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Caen II vs Guingamp II
1:2
Nov 12, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Caen II
2:2
Mar 26, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Caen II vs Guingamp II
0:2
Oct 9, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Caen II
1:1
Jun 5, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Caen II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen II 16 / 100
Guingamp II 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen II Guingamp II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guingamp II conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Caen II found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Guingamp II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guingamp II
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen II

(Home)
03 Jun
Vannes
5 : 0
Caen II
27 May
Caen II
0 : 0
Racing Club de France
13 May
Chambly
2 : 0
Caen II
06 May
Caen II
3 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Apr
Saint-Pryve
3 : 2
Caen II
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Guingamp II

(Away)
09 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 1
Guingamp II
18 May
Guingamp II
2 : 3
Saint-Malo
11 May
Racing Club de France
2 : 0
Guingamp II
27 Apr
Guingamp II
2 : 2
AF Virois
20 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 3
Guingamp II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouen 30 21 6 3 58:29 69
2 Racing Club de France 30 17 8 5 66:29 59
3 Chambly 30 16 9 5 52:25 57
4 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 13 9 8 33:29 48
5 Saint-Malo 30 11 10 9 41:37 43
6 Poissy 30 13 6 11 43:43 41
7 Beauvais 30 9 12 9 41:37 39
8 Blois Foot 41 30 10 9 11 46:42 39
9 Saint-Pryve 30 10 9 11 28:33 39
10 Granville 30 9 10 11 42:47 37
11 Guingamp II 30 10 7 13 37:48 37
12 Evreux 30 8 10 12 47:59 31
13 Rennes II 30 7 7 16 43:63 28
14 Vannes 30 5 9 16 47:58 24
15 Caen II 30 5 9 16 37:62 24
16 Chartres 30 6 10 14 33:53 23
Promotion - National 2023/2024 (Main)