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Caen vs Laval

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Maggiotti J.
28'
33' Event
Gnanduillet A.

AI Match Summary

Caen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Caen
33%
Draws
40%
Laval
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Laval

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Laval lately — more wins on the board than Caen.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Laval taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Caen Clean Sheet 21%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Laval
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Caen vs Laval
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Laval vs Caen
1:0
May 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Caen vs Laval
1:0
Sep 2, 2023 Ligue 2
Laval vs Caen
2:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Laval vs Caen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnanduillet A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hafid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggiotti J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Court Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 29 / 100
Laval 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Laval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caen scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Laval's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Caen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Laval
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Caen
0 : 0
Concarneau
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Laval

(Away)
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Laval
5 : 0
Quevilly
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
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