Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caen vs Stade Briochin

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Dorival P.
42'
Debohi D. G.
57' Event
Duville-Parsemain A.
Assist: Botella I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caen
44%
Draws
20%
Stade Briochin
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Caen have won more games recently than Stade Briochin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Caen Clean Sheet 23%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Stade Briochin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Stade Briochin
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Caen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Duville-Parsemain A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Beghin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 37 / 100
Stade Briochin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Stade Briochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Stade Briochin has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Caen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Stade Briochin
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Caen
0 : 0
Concarneau
Page 1 of 6

Stade Briochin

(Away)
15 May
Versailles
2 : 2
Stade Briochin
09 May
Stade Briochin
3 : 0
Quevilly
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
24 Apr
Stade Briochin
1 : 2
Concarneau
10 Apr
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)