Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caen vs Stade Briochin

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Dorival P.
42'
Debohi D. G.
57' Event
Duville-Parsemain A.
Assist: Botella I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Caen
30%
Draws
28%
Stade Briochin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Caen have won more games recently than Stade Briochin.
  • Win probability leans Caen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Stade Briochin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Stade Briochin
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Caen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Duville-Parsemain A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Beghin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 59 / 100
Stade Briochin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Stade Briochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Stade Briochin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Caen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Stade Briochin
2.75 Goals Scored 0.86
2 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Caen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3
Caen
Page 1 of 6

Stade Briochin

(Away)
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
22 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 0
Le Poire Sur Vie
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2
Brest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)