Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bishop L.
12' Event
Bishop L.
24' Event
Bishop L.

AI Match Summary

Caerau Ely in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerau Ely.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Caerau Ely
15%
Draws
26%
Cardiff Corries
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Cardiff Corries.
  • Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caerau Ely have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely Cardiff Corries
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 23 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.48 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
0:0
Jun 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
6:0
Sep 15, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
3:2
Mar 24, 2012 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Caerau Ely
0:2
Aug 17, 2011 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caerau Ely Compare

Top Goalscorer Bishop L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gullick L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cardiff Corries Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 85 / 100
Cardiff Corries 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely Cardiff Corries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerau Ely scored in 86% of their last 42 games.

Defensive concern: Cardiff Corries conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Caerau Ely stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS Cardiff Corries
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
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Cardiff Corries

(Away)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
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