Sport Picks
Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Caerau Ely host Llantwit Major in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Caerau Ely at 2.59 goals for, 1.26 against; Llantwit Major at 1.35 for, 1.84 against. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 2 to Llantwit Major's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Caerau Ely. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Llantwit Major on wins alone.
- Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.59 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Llantwit Major has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Caerau Ely has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Llantwit Major
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
