Sport Picks
Caerau Ely vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Caerau Ely host Newport City in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Newport City have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.23 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 1 to Newport City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Caerau Ely. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Newport City haven't matched Caerau Ely's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Newport City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Newport City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |
