Sport Picks
Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Caerau Ely host Pontypridd United in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pontypridd United have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.61. Past meetings favor Pontypridd United slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.81) point toward Caerau Ely. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Pontypridd United.
- Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.61 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Pontypridd United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Caerau Ely went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Pontypridd United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |
