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Caerleon vs Brymbo

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Caerleon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
42%
Brymbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerleon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Caerleon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caerleon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Caerleon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caerleon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 11%
Brymbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Brymbo
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.84 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.19 4.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.95 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2007 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Brymbo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 83 / 100
Brymbo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Brymbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerleon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brymbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 11 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Brymbo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caerleon's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Caerleon VS Brymbo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.2
2.38 Goals Conceded 5.4
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7

Brymbo

(Away)
04 Sept
Bala
17 : 1
Brymbo
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1
Llansantffraid Village
19 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 1
Brymbo
20 Oct
Buckley
3 : 1
Brymbo
01 Oct
Llangefni
4 : 0
Brymbo
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Connahs Q. 0
Guilsfield 2
Nefyn United 1
Caernarfon 3
Aberystwyth 3
Neath Athletic 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor City 3
Newport YMCA 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangefni 3
Mynydd Isa 0
Bryntirion Athletic 4
Dinas Powys 2
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Welshpool 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Aberdare Town 3
Caerau Ely 1
Newtown 2
Maesteg Park 1
Llanrug 3
Llanelli 5
Haverfordwest 3
Ton Pentre 0
Rhyl 1
Port Talbot 0
Queens Park 3
Afan Lido 1
Caerleon 2
Brymbo 0
1/8-finals
Guilsfield 1
Caernarfon 0
Aberystwyth 0
Bangor City 1
Newport YMCA 2
Llangefni 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Welshpool 2
Cefn Druids 1
Aberdare Town 0
Newtown 1
Llanelli 2
Haverfordwest 1
Rhyl 2
Queens Park 2
Caerleon 0
Quarter-finals
Guilsfield 0
Bangor City 6
Newport YMCA 3
Welshpool 2
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 6
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 2
Semi-finals
Bangor City 3
Newport YMCA 1
Llanelli 5
Rhyl 2
Final
Bangor City 4
Llanelli 2