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Caerleon vs Cwmbran Town Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Division 1 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caerleon in this Division 1 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerleon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
57%
Cwmbran Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cwmbran Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cwmbran Town at 1.1 per game, Caerleon at 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 13%
Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Cwmbran Town
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2009 Division 1
Caerleon vs Cwmbran Town
5:1
Mar 11, 2009 Division 1
Cwmbran Town vs Caerleon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 31 / 100
Cwmbran Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Cwmbran Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cwmbran Town conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Cwmbran Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caerleon scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerleon VS Cwmbran Town
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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Cwmbran Town

(Away)
22 Nov
Rhyl
3 : 2
Cwmbran Town
18 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 2
Cwmbran Town
20 Sept
Cwmbran Town
5 : 4
Ynyshir Albions
12 Jul
Pontypridd United
1 : 0
Cwmbran Town
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
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