Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Connahs Q.
Wales
Cymru Premier 2025/2026 The Oval, Caernarfon 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Caernarfon and Connahs Q. finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Connahs Q..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Connahs Q. carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Caernarfon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Connahs Q. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caernarfon Compare
Connahs Q. Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Caernarfon found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Connahs Q.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Caernarfon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Connahs Q.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 81:25 | 80 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 61:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 45 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Penybont | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:49 | 41 |