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Caernarfon vs Grange Harlequins - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Premier 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caernarfon in this Premier 2005/2006 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caernarfon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Caernarfon
20%
Draws
42%
Grange Harlequins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grange Harlequins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Grange Harlequins haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
  • Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 16%
Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caernarfon Grange Harlequins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2006 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Grange Harlequins
2:1
Oct 15, 2005 Cymru Premier
Grange Harlequins vs Caernarfon
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 84 / 100
Grange Harlequins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caernarfon Grange Harlequins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caernarfon scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Grange Harlequins has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Caernarfon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caernarfon VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Grange Harlequins

(Away)
10 Nov
Chepstow Town
4 : 1
Grange Harlequins
06 Oct
Grange Harlequins
4 : 3
Llanwern FC
26 Feb
TNS
2 : 0
Grange Harlequins
29 Jan
Grange Harlequins
1 : 0
Bridgend Town
06 Nov
Corus Steel
0 : 2
Grange Harlequins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 34 27 5 2 87:17 86
2 Llanelli 34 21 5 8 64:28 68
3 Rhyl 34 18 10 6 65:30 64
4 Carmarthen Town 34 17 6 11 62:42 57
5 Port Talbot 34 15 11 8 47:30 56
6 Welshpool 34 15 9 10 59:48 54
7 Aberystwyth 34 14 10 10 59:48 52
8 Haverfordwest 34 12 14 8 49:36 50
9 Bangor City 34 14 3 17 51:54 45
10 Caersws FC 34 11 12 11 44:56 45
11 Porthmadog 34 12 8 14 57:59 44
12 Connahs Q. 34 10 8 16 36:46 38
13 Caernarfon 34 9 10 15 47:55 37
14 Newtown 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
15 Cefn Druids 34 7 11 16 42:58 32
16 Airbus UK Broughton FC 34 8 8 18 35:60 32
17 Cwmbran Town 34 8 8 18 42:73 32
18 Grange Harlequins 34 4 4 26 23:110 16
Promotion - Champions League 2006/2007 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 2006/2007 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 2006/2007 (Qualification)