Sport Picks

Wales

Premier 2005/2006

Grange Harlequins

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caernarfon play Grange Harlequins in the Premier 2005/2006. Caernarfon are favorites here. Recently, Caernarfon averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Grange Harlequins averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Caernarfon won 1, Grange Harlequins won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 25, 2006 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Caernarfon and 1.13 for Grange Harlequins. This points to a Caernarfon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Caernarfon

17%

Draws

27%

Grange Harlequins

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Caernarfon picked up more points recently compared to Grange Harlequins.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Caernarfon Clean Sheet 21%

Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caernarfon	Grange Harlequins
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	7	3
Losses	9	20
Goals Scored	1.73	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.4	2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2006 Cymru Premier

Caernarfon vs Grange Harlequins

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Oct 15, 2005 Cymru Premier

Grange Harlequins vs Caernarfon

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 55 / 100

Grange Harlequins 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caernarfon Grange Harlequins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (1)

Secondary Pick Caernarfon & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caernarfon attacking → ← attacking Grange Harlequins

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caernarfon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Grange Harlequins let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Caernarfon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Grange Harlequins lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 24

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	TNS	34	27	5	2	87:17	86
2	Llanelli	34	21	5	8	64:28	68
3	Rhyl	34	18	10	6	65:30	64
4	Carmarthen Town	34	17	6	11	62:42	57
5	Port Talbot	34	15	11	8	47:30	56
6	Welshpool	34	15	9	10	59:48	54
7	Aberystwyth	34	14	10	10	59:48	52
8	Haverfordwest	34	12	14	8	49:36	50
9	Bangor City	34	14	3	17	51:54	45
10	Caersws FC	34	11	12	11	44:56	45
11	Porthmadog	34	12	8	14	57:59	44
12	Connahs Q.	34	10	8	16	36:46	38
13	Caernarfon	34	9	10	15	47:55	37
14	Newtown	34	10	6	18	42:61	36
15	Cefn Druids	34	7	11	16	42:58	32
16	Airbus UK Broughton FC	34	8	8	18	35:60	32
17	Cwmbran Town	34	8	8	18	42:73	32
18	Grange Harlequins	34	4	4	26	23:110	16