Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caernarfon vs Levadia

Europe Europe

Conference League The Oval, Caernarfon
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Peetson R.
Assist: Ainsalu M.
20'
Skvortsov M.
24'
Nash B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Levadia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caernarfon
44%
Draws
20%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Levadia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Levadia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caernarfon Levadia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.4 3.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Levadia vs Caernarfon
5:0
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Caernarfon vs Levadia
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caernarfon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Peetson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 34 / 100
Levadia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caernarfon Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Caernarfon scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Levadia conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Caernarfon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caernarfon VS Levadia
1.4 Goals Scored 3.5
2.2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
20 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Apr
Caernarfon
2 : 0
Penybont
12 Apr
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2
Flora
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
GAIS-
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Nordsjaelland-
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Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Zilina-
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GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
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Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
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HJK-
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Coleraine-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
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Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
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Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
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Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
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Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana1
Drita1
Borac Banja Luka3
Petrocub Hincesti0
ML Vitebsk3
Sutjeska0
Flora1
TNS0
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar2
Riga FC3
Bissen2
Gyor6
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku1
Vaduz4
Atletic Escaldes0
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan4
UNA Strassen0
FK Panevezys1
Tobol1
Paks1
Panathinaikos2
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Vojvodina1
Ajax4
Shelbourne5
Kalju2
FCSB2
FK Auda Riga3
Aluminij1
Dinamo Tirana1
Zimbru Chisinau1
Noah1
BATE1
Sion1
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga1
Neftci Baku2
Din. Minsk4
Valur1
Zrinjski0
GAIS1
Nordsjaelland0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
Zilina2
GKS Katowice1
AEK Larnaca0
Beitar Jerusalem1
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Alashkert1
CFR Cluj1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj2
Brann2
Dila Gori0
Apollon Limassol4
Lugano1
Dukagjini0
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
Rakow Czestochowa3
Valletta1
TBD-
TBD-
HJK5
Coleraine0
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
Malisheva2
Hibernian0
Bravo2
Shkendija Tetovo1
IFK Goteborg1
Levadia2
LNZ Cherkasy0
Gent0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Zira FK0
FC Santa Coloma1
Rapid Vienna3
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Polissya Zhytomyr3
FC Copenhagen3
Varazdin3
Jablonec2
RFS4
Vestri1
Rijeka1
Derry City0
Stjarnan1
Ilves0
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda1
Velez Mostar0
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Semi-finals
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